(All Carlos Osweda threads are reposted without alteration. Proceed with caution, candor ahead.)
MINI-THREAD
Hey @realDonaldTrump!
@Politico doesn’t just WHISTLE past the graveyard, it brings an entire marching band.
Read this headline and laugh.
‘Warning flare’: New swing-state data shows massive Democratic early-vote lead
“Democrats have opened up a yawning gap in early voting over Republicans in six of the most crucial battleground states — but that only begins to tell the story of their advantage heading into Election Day.”
Sounds pretty dire, right?
Blah blah blah for five paragraphs.
FINALLY we see that “yawning gap”:
“‘Great news. We lead [in the polls]. But if you look at the early vote, we have to win 2-to-1 on Election Day,’ Wilson said. ‘And that’s probably just about every contested race in America.'”
In other words:
“We’re screwed.”
But wait! There’s more!
“While Democrats appear to be dominating Republicans in early-vote numbers nationally by 13 percentage points, they had roughly the same lead four years ago — and it proved insufficient.”
PLUS.
They don’t know which Democrats have voted for…YOU, Mr. President.
They’re ASSUMING that every single Democrat vote cast so far is a vote for Biden.
Try and find the percentage of registered Democrats who voted for Trump in 2016.
It’s a state secret.
The closest I could get to answering that question was that 13 percent of Democrats who voted for Obama in 2008 voted for Trump in 2016.
That alone means that the “crushing lead” that Democrats have now is even lower than it was in 2016.
And in 2016 it wasn’t enough to win.
Biden = el toasterino.
Everyone admits that the Democrats have already used up most of their voters.
Trump supporters have not yet begun to vote.
And pollsters have no idea how many of them there are.
Or WILL BE, given the daily atom bombs being dropped in the form of Republican October surprises.
Daily October surprises.
Who’da thunk it?
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